As the NBA Playoffs heat up, momentum is everything—and finding the right edge can be the difference between cashing a ticket or tearing it up. With teams battling through injuries, fatigue, and high-stakes pressure, sharp bettors are focusing on historical trends and matchup dynamics. At Hot Streak Picks, we aim to deliver value-backed selections grounded in recent performance and long-term tendencies.
Yesterday wasn’t our best showing—we went 0 for 2. The Golden State Warriors (+4) didn’t come close to covering, falling to the Houston Rockets 131-116 behind a 26-point effort from Fred VanVleet. Our second pick, the OVER 209.5 in the Timberwolves vs. Lakers matchup, also fell short, with the game totaling just 199. Rudy Gobert put up a monster game with 27 points and 24 rebounds, but it wasn’t enough to hit the number.
Let’s bounce back today with two tightly researched plays:
Pick 1: New York Knicks (+4) @ Detroit Pistons
We like the Knicks to cover the number here. New York is 15-5 straight up in its last 20 games against Detroit, and more importantly, the Pistons have dropped 10 of their last 11 home games against the Knicks. The trends are clearly in our favor.
Pick 2: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers – UNDER 212
This total is too high for how these teams typically play each other. The UNDER has hit in 11 of Denver’s last 13 road games against the Clippers, and five of their last seven Western Conference matchups. Expect a grind-it-out playoff style game.
Final Thoughts
These NBA bets are backed by strong trends and favorable matchups, making them worth considering for your wagers. Whether you’re placing bets on FanDuel, DraftKings, PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, or BetMGM, these plays have solid value based on recent performances. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action!