It’s Monday Night Football, and tonight’s matchup brings two NFC teams with plenty of recent history — the Arizona Cardinals and Dallas Cowboys. Dallas enters as a small favorite at -2.5, while the total sits high at 54. The lights will be bright, and the trends point to another entertaining finish.
Total Play: Over 54 (Medium Confidence)
Both teams have been trending toward Overs lately.
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Dallas: Over in 4 of last 5
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Arizona: Over in 5 of last 7
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Arizona road defense: 27.3 points allowed per game
The Cowboys’ offense ranks top 10 in total plays and top 8 in passing yards per attempt at home. When they get momentum early, they pile up points in bunches. Arizona’s secondary has been a problem — giving up multiple passing touchdowns in four straight games.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals’ offense isn’t bad; they’ve averaged over 24 points per game over the last three contests. With both teams built to play at pace, the Over 54 looks like the better value in what could turn into a back-and-forth game.
Side Play: Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (Medium-Low Confidence)
This line looks tempting — Dallas is usually a strong home team, covering 6 of their last 8 at AT&T Stadium. But here’s the catch: Arizona has owned this series, going 7–1 straight up and ATS in the last eight meetings.
Dallas still has the advantage on paper — better quarterback play, more talent across the board, and a home-field edge. But Arizona plays Dallas tough every time. If the Cowboys’ defense can limit Arizona’s run game and force them into third-and-long situations, they should finally flip the script.
Dak Prescott has been more efficient lately, and Tony Pollard could have a big night against a run defense allowing over 125 yards per game. Still, this one’s close enough to warrant caution — Dallas should win, but Arizona’s history here is no joke.
Final Recap:
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Total: Over 54 — Medium Confidence
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Side: Dallas -2.5 — Medium-Low Confidence
Expect a fast pace and scoring chances on both sides, but don’t get overconfident in the spread. Play it smart, manage your bankroll, and enjoy a high-scoring Monday night under the lights.
Top Takeaway: Lean Over for excitement, Dallas for the win — but keep the confidence modest.
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