The deeper we get into the NCAA tournament, the more every possession matters—and so does every prop bet. Momentum is a massive part of the equation right now. Players are finding their rhythm or cracking under pressure, and that’s where savvy bettors gain an edge. With high-stakes matchups comes high-value lines if you know where to look.
Yesterday didn’t go as planned—we went 1-3, and yeah, that stings. But the key is not to overreact. That’s part of the grind. The data is there, the matchups are clear, and we’re still making sharp plays. Today, we’ve locked in three strong picks we believe offer solid value based on recent trends, usage, and defensive matchups.
Tyrese Proctor (Duke) Over 14.5 Points
Proctor’s regular season average sits at 12.4 points per game, but lately, he’s been heating up. He’s hit the over in 3 of his last 5 outings, and Duke will be leaning on him in a high-scoring affair against Alabama. If he keeps getting minutes and looks, 15+ is more than reachable.
Khaman Maluach (Duke) Over 8.5 Points (-115)
Alabama’s defense is fast-paced but porous—they’re allowing over 81 points per game. That’s great news for Maluach, who’s been a consistent interior threat for Duke. This is a matchup where he should thrive, especially if Duke pushes the pace.
Walter Clayton (Florida) Over 19.5 Points
Clayton came up big with 23 points in the win over UConn. He’s playing with confidence, taking clutch shots, and Florida’s going to need that same firepower against Texas Tech. If the game stays close, he’s got a green light to hit 20+ again.
Final Thoughts
These NCAA prop bets are backed by favorable matchups, strong trends, and players peaking at the right time. Whether you’re riding with FanDuel, DraftKings, PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, or BetMGM, these are plays to strongly consider. As always—bet responsibly, have fun, and enjoy the madness.
