After a solid run, yesterday’s picks took a step back, finishing 1 for 3. It’s part of the game — even the strongest stats don’t always translate on the court. We followed the numbers, and sometimes the numbers just don’t cooperate. That’s why it’s called betting and not banking. But the grind doesn’t stop, and with a full NBA slate today, we’re diving back in and sticking to the research-driven process that got us here.
Today’s prop bets are centered around players who’ve shown consistency in key categories — and are set up nicely based on matchups, recent performances, and usage. Whether you’re playing on PrizePicks, Underdog, FanDuel, or your favorite book, these three props deserve a strong look for March 23. Let’s get into it.
Today’s Top Picks
1. Jalen Duren – Over 12.5 Points vs. Pelicans
Duren’s been steady with his scoring lately, going over this number in 3 of his last 5 games. While his season average sits at 11.5, he’s facing a Pelicans team that struggles to contain physical big men around the basket. With more offensive opportunities and Detroit leaning on their young core, Duren has a good chance to break through the 12.5-point line tonight.
2. Quentin Grimes – Over 4.5 Assists vs. Hawks
Grimes has been a pleasant surprise for Philadelphia as a facilitator, especially with Tyrese Maxey out. He’s recorded 5 or more assists in six straight games, including a season-high 10 in his last outing. The Hawks give up the 5th-most assists to opposing shooting guards, and Grimes already notched 5 assists on 9 potential dimes in his lone previous game against Atlanta. Expect another strong showing from him in the playmaking department.
3. Amen Thompson – Over 8.5 Rebounds vs. Nuggets
Amen Thompson has been a beast on the glass, going over 8.5 boards in five straight games. He’s averaging 8.3 rebounds on the season but has been surging lately. With the Nuggets frontcourt posing a tough challenge, Houston will need Thompson’s activity and hustle more than ever. He should have every opportunity to hit the over once again tonight.
