The NBA Playoffs have reached that gritty, unpredictable stretch where momentum shifts with every possession. As teams claw for every edge, prop bets become a strategic weapon—helping us zero in on individual matchups and trending performances. It’s not just about winners and losers anymore—it’s about who’s stepping up under pressure and where we can find consistent betting value.
Yesterday was a tough beat—0 for 3 on the board. We missed on Alex Caruso under 14.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists—he finished with 19. Myles Turner crushed his under 5 rebounds with 9. And Jalen Williams just slipped over his assist line with 6 when we needed under 5. Let’s shake it off and reload—because today’s slate brings opportunity.
Here are our favorite three prop plays for Saturday:
Chet Holmgren OVER 14.5 Points vs Indiana Pacers
Holmgren has hit this mark in 3 of his last 5 games and is averaging 15 points per game this season. Against a Pacers team that struggles defending the paint, this is a great spot to back the rookie to get buckets.
T.J. McConnell UNDER 5.5 Rebounds + Assists at Oklahoma City Thunder
McConnell has been sneaky productive, but this line feels inflated. He’s gone over in his last 5, but this is a tougher matchup on the road, and OKC limits pace and second-chance opportunities.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 13.5 Rebounds + Assists at Indiana Pacers
It’s a big number, but SGA can fill the stat sheet. He’s gone over this line in 2 of his last 5, and even though the average is slightly under, the Pacers give up plenty of volume to primary ball-handlers. We’re betting on usage here.
Final Thoughts
These NBA prop bets are backed by strong trends and favorable matchups, making them worth considering for your wagers. Whether you’re placing bets on FanDuel, DraftKings, PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, or BetMGM, these plays have solid value based on recent performances. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action!
