As the NBA Playoffs continue to bring high-intensity drama, smart bettors know the value lies not just in spreads and totals—but in the player props. This time of year is all about momentum, matchups, and adjustments. While team performances can fluctuate game-to-game, individual player trends give us solid angles to work with. Prop bets let us zoom in on the stars—and sometimes the role players—to find the edges that the sportsbooks might overlook.
Yesterday wasn’t our day—we went 0 for 3 on our props. Jalen Williams over 5.5 rebounds came up way short—he didn’t grab a single board. Aaron Nesmith over 6 combined rebounds and assists was a total misfire as well, despite his solid stat line that hit 18. And Luguentz Dort fell just short on his rebound line—finishing with 4, just one shy of the over. Not our best outing, but that’s part of the grind. Let’s reset and refocus for today.
Today’s Prop Bets:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 0.5 Rebounds vs Indiana Pacers
This one feels like a gift. Shai has cleared this number in 5 straight games, and he’s averaging a whopping 32.7 points per game this season. But the key here is consistency—he’s grabbing boards regularly, and with his minutes locked in during a closeout Game 7, this should be a safe bet to anchor the slate.
Pascal Siakam under 7.5 Rebounds + Assists vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Siakam’s numbers in the last five games show he’s only gone over this number three times. He’s averaging 6.9 combined per game on the season, and against a Thunder team that controls pace and forces jump shots, this is a good spot to fade the over.
Jalen Williams over 5 Rebounds vs Indiana Pacers
Back to the well with Jalen, but with a slightly adjusted line. He’s hit this number in 3 of his last 5 games and averages 5.3 per game. Expect a bounce-back performance on the glass tonight in what could be a tightly contested elimination game.
Final Thoughts
These NBA Prop bets are backed by strong trends and favorable matchups, making them worth considering for your wagers. Whether you’re placing bets on FanDuel, DraftKings, PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, or BetMGM, these plays have solid value based on recent performances. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action!
