As the NBA Playoffs roll on, every possession and every player performance carries more weight. That’s what makes prop betting so exciting this time of year. You can often spot opportunities where role players step up or stars hit their stride, especially as coaches tighten rotations and matchups become more predictable. Momentum, injuries, and matchup history all play huge roles in helping us find value in the prop market.
Yesterday, we took a swing but came up short, going 0-for-3. Josh Hart’s Over 5.5 Assists just missed as he finished with 5. Damian Lillard’s Over 5.5 Assists wasn’t even close—he only logged 2 before suffering an unfortunate lower leg injury and leaving the game early. And Bobby Portis fell way short of his Over 8.5 Rebounds prop, finishing with just 3. Not the day we wanted, but as always, we regroup and reload.
Here’s today’s three prop picks:
First up, we like Max Strus Over 2.5 made three-pointers against the Miami Heat. He’s cleared this line in five of his last five games and is averaging 2.3 made threes per game this season. With the Heat defending the paint aggressively, Strus should get plenty of looks from deep.
Next, we’re taking Davion Mitchell Over 12 Points against the Cleveland Cavaliers. He’s been on a hot streak, going over this number in his last five games. Even though he’s averaging 7.9 points per game this season, the volume has ticked up in recent outings, making this a strong value play.
Finally, we’re on Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 Assists against the Cavaliers. Bam has gone over this number in four of his last five games, and he’s averaging 4.3 assists per game this season. Miami often runs their offense through him at the elbow, and he’s been a reliable playmaker.
Final Thoughts:
These NBA Prop bets are backed by strong trends and favorable matchups, making them worth considering for your wagers. Whether you’re placing bets on FanDuel, DraftKings, PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, or BetMGM, these plays have solid value based on recent performances. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action!
